Prof. Dr. Haider Ali Al-Dulaimi
The state’s general budget is one of the most important tools used by the government to direct economic resources and achieve economic and social development goals. In Iraq, the general budget has particular importance due to the heavy reliance of public finances on oil revenues, which makes it more vulnerable to fluctuations in oil prices and public revenues. Therefore, the persistence of a budget deficit is not merely a financial issue related to balancing revenues and expenditures; its effects may extend to the state’s ability to finance programs and projects associated with sustainable development.
The importance of studying the relationship between the budget deficit and the Sustainable Development Goals is evident, particularly Goals 1, 2, 8, and 12, as these goals are directly linked to living standards, food security, economic growth, and efficient resource utilization.
First: Budget Deficit and Goal 1: No Poverty
Goal 1 of the Sustainable Development Goals focuses on eradicating poverty in all its forms. A persistent budget deficit reduces the fiscal space available to the government to finance social protection programs, support low-income groups, and provide essential services and employment opportunities.
When the government is forced to reduce public spending or reprioritize it due to financial pressures, investments directed toward education, health, housing, and basic services may be affected—sectors that play a direct role in reducing poverty and improving quality of life. Moreover, rising inflation rates, if the deficit is financed in ways that increase inflationary pressures, may lead to a decline in households’ purchasing power, especially among low-income groups.
Thus, addressing the fiscal deficit should not be limited to reducing expenditures; it must be accompanied by financial and economic policies aimed at promoting growth, creating jobs, and improving the efficiency of public spending.
Second: Budget Deficit and Goal 2: Zero Hunger and Food Security
Eradicating hunger and achieving food security is a fundamental goal of sustainable development. Iraq faces multiple challenges in this area, including limited water resources, climate change, low agricultural productivity, and the need to develop agricultural infrastructure.
A high budget deficit may limit the state’s ability to allocate the necessary resources to support the agricultural sector, develop irrigation projects, improve agricultural production, provide inputs, and enhance food security programs. Additionally, reduced investment spending in agriculture may increase reliance on imports, making food security more dependent on external fluctuations and global food prices.
Therefore, achieving Goal 2 requires viewing agricultural and food spending as a long-term investment in economic and social security, rather than merely an expenditure item to be reduced during financial pressures.
Third: Budget Deficit and Goal 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth
Goal 8 is associated with achieving sustained, inclusive economic growth, providing decent work, and increasing economic productivity. It is one of the goals most closely linked to fiscal policy, as the general budget can play a key role in stimulating economic activity through investment spending, infrastructure development, support for the private sector, and encouragement of small and medium enterprises.
However, a high fiscal deficit may limit the government’s ability to implement productive investment spending, especially when current expenditures account for a large share of total public spending. Heavy reliance on public sector employment to address unemployment may also increase current expenditures without achieving a sustainable transformation in the economic structure.
Therefore, addressing the deficit should be accompanied by redirecting spending toward productive sectors, strengthening the role of the private sector, and diversifying income sources, thereby contributing to the creation of real and sustainable job opportunities and reducing dependence on oil revenues.
Fourth: Budget Deficit and Goal 12: Responsible Consumption and Production
Goal 12 focuses on ensuring sustainable consumption and production patterns. The relationship between the fiscal deficit and this goal is reflected in the nature of public spending and the efficiency of resource use.
The higher the unproductive expenditures or the lower the efficiency in using public resources, the greater the need for additional financing to cover spending, which may deepen financial imbalances.
Conversely, sound budget management can promote responsible production by supporting projects that use resources efficiently, encouraging renewable energy, reducing waste, and improving the efficiency of public spending.
Moreover, shifting toward more sustainable patterns of production and consumption can alleviate financial pressures in the long term by reducing resource waste, enhancing domestic production, and improving the efficiency of economic institutions.
Toward a More Sustainable Budget
The relationship between the budget deficit and the Sustainable Development Goals in Iraq reveals that financial sustainability and developmental sustainability are two sides of the same issue. A persistent fiscal deficit may limit the state’s ability to finance development goals, while weak development and lack of economic diversification may increase the fragility of public revenues and deepen the deficit problem.
Accordingly, addressing these challenges requires adopting a more efficient fiscal policy based on diversifying revenue sources, improving tax administration, rationalizing public expenditures, increasing productive investment spending, strengthening partnerships with the private sector, and linking budget allocations to clear performance and sustainable development indicators.
In this context, achieving Goals 1, 2, 8, and 12 does not only require increasing the volume of public spending, but also improving its efficiency and directing it toward real development priorities. A sustainable public budget is one that can balance financial stability on the one hand and the provision of resources necessary to achieve economic, social, and environmental development on the other.
Thus, reforming the public budget in Iraq becomes a fundamental step not only to address the fiscal deficit, but also to build a more diversified economy capable of achieving sustainable development goals in a balanced and sustainable manner.